Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.066806 0.079420 0.093587 0.110653 0.130629 0.153244 0.180764
2025-03-09 0.046823 0.062775 0.082767 0.109553 0.144383 0.188009 0.246654
2025-03-16 0.035114 0.051769 0.074514 0.107613 0.154270 0.217371 0.308791
2025-03-23 0.028827 0.045983 0.071133 0.110286 0.169212 0.253968 0.384315
2025-03-30 0.023466 0.040150 0.066190 0.109208 0.177751 0.281746 0.450115
2025-04-06 0.019151 0.034940 0.061030 0.106513 0.182801 0.304202 0.509943
2025-04-13 0.015676 0.030367 0.055971 0.102880 0.185363 0.322475 0.564706
2025-04-20 0.013781 0.028184 0.054512 0.104945 0.197427 0.357209 0.650027
2025-04-27 0.012062 0.025975 0.052591 0.105764 0.207201 0.388902 0.733466
2025-05-04 0.010600 0.023983 0.050713 0.106285 0.216322 0.420226 0.819449
2025-05-11 0.009470 0.022452 0.049463 0.107767 0.227309 0.455949 0.917104
2025-05-18 0.008699 0.021549 0.049327 0.111414 0.242896 0.501826 1.038554
2025-05-25 0.007397 0.019231 0.045902 0.107829 0.243658 0.519734 1.109129
2025-06-01 0.006548 0.017818 0.044238 0.107813 0.251911 0.553538 1.215354
2025-06-08 0.005710 0.016262 0.041985 0.106113 0.256241 0.579703 1.308708
2025-06-15 0.005244 0.015570 0.041653 0.108795 0.270641 0.628533 1.454770
2025-06-22 0.004638 0.014372 0.039881 0.107739 0.276264 0.658923 1.564176
2025-06-29 0.004038 0.013066 0.037609 0.105081 0.277698 0.680086 1.655307
2025-07-06 0.003482 0.011767 0.035130 0.101494 0.276352 0.694682 1.732981
2025-07-13 0.003215 0.011287 0.034800 0.103533 0.289360 0.744108 1.896430
2025-07-20 0.002932 0.010697 0.034060 0.104341 0.299296 0.787226 2.049283
2025-07-27 0.002670 0.010119 0.033258 0.104856 0.308518 0.829554 2.204479
2025-08-03 0.002463 0.009683 0.032809 0.106319 0.320494 0.879987 2.384695